Rates Fluctuating with Mixed Economic Data
The tide turned on Thursday with the release of positive job reports, which indicated a robust labor market. A strong labor market is typically an indication that higher-than-desired inflation rates may continue. Additionally, Friday's Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) numbers were neutral. These two data points reversed the week’s downtrend in rates.
The Federal Reserve remains cautious and awaits a more significant decrease in PCE and CPI numbers before considering any rate cuts in the upcoming months. This stance reflects concerns about persistent inflationary pressures and the Fed's commitment to its inflation targets.